The Optimizer Quotient and the Certification Trilemma
The optimizer quotient is the canonical object for exact decision-relevant information, but it is unknown whether its coordinate structure can be efficiently certified in various decision-theoretic regimes.
The authors prove that exact certification of the optimizer quotient's coordinate structure is subject to an impossibility trilemma: under P != coNP, no certifier can be simultaneously sound, complete, and polynomial-budgeted. They analyze complexity across three regimes (static, stochastic, sequential) and identify six structural restrictions that collapse certification to polynomial time. The finite reduction and verification core is mechanized in Lean 4.
The certification trilemma is established (Theorem 7.1) with regime-specific costs: coNP for static, PP-hard for stochastic decisiveness, and PSPACE-complete for sequential. Six polynomial-collapse conditions are identified and the core finite-case reductions are verified in Lean 4.
