Discriminant Varieties for Stick Knots and Links
Determine the growth order of the number of knot types realizable with a fixed budget of N straight sticks. No prior general upper bound improved on an exponential-in-the-square estimate.
Polygonal self-intersection is recast as a sparse real-algebraic chamber problem in linearly many dimensions using a normalized Stiefel parameter space and determinantal crossing walls. Sign-condition bounds give a factorial-scale upper bound, while a braid construction using Garside normal forms and doubly alternating permutations supplies a matching lower bound. A Lean 4 development checks the algebraic identities, the binomial sign-condition estimate, a finite Cauchy–Schwarz step, and the final arithmetic, conditional on named topological and combinatorial hypotheses.
The number of knot types has factorial-scale growth, log|K_N| = Θ(N log N), with upper bound C_N ≤ 2(AN)^{3N-12} = N^{3N+o(N)} and lower bound |K_N| ≥ N^{(2/3+o(1))N}. The headline asymptotic theorem is not formalized end-to-end in Lean.
