Pfaffian Positivity for Convex Kernels and Optimal Matching Bounds
Pfaffians are alternating sums over perfect matchings, so their sign is not evident from the entries. The question is whether the Pfaffian of the skew matrix built from f(x_j - x_i) is positive for ordered points and positive, nonincreasing, convex f. A related target is the nonvanishing assertions of the Albouy–Moeckel conjecture.
The matrix is decomposed into indeterminates indexed by subintervals of [n] via Möbius inversion. A twin-rows lemma shows the Pfaffian of this interval matrix is a polynomial with nonnegative integer coefficients. Convexity and monotonicity of f give nonnegative specializations of these indeterminates. Alternating prefix sums of principal Pfaffians give an endpoint inequality, which is iterated to obtain the rainbow bound and also bounds for bordered Pfaffians; part of the work is machine-checked in Lean 4 with Mathlib.
The Pfaffian is bounded below by the rainbow matching product, which implies the diameter bound f(x_n - x_1)^{n/2} > 0. Taking f(r) = r^{-2} proves the three nonvanishing assertions of the Albouy–Moeckel conjecture. The rainbow product is the unique single-matching product that bounds the Pfaffian below uniformly over x and f.
